…. Larry Granillo, over at Baseball Prospectus agrees with me:
…. Ryan Braun is not going to win the MVP award this year. Even with the Brewers surging in
to the playoffs thanks to an unprecedented triple swoon by the other National League Wild Card contenders, there are, ahem, reasons that Braun won’t walk away with the trophy. One of those reasons plays catcher for the San Francisco Giants.
…. In 50 fewer plate appearances, Posey has only eight fewer hits than Braun. That’s enough to help put Posey’s .333 batting average at third in the league. He also has six more doubles than Braun despite the fewer at-bats and a respectable-unto-itself 22 home runs. Posey’s .409 on-base percentage is also 20 points higher than Braun’s .389, while his 73 runs scored and 93 RBIs complete the all-around great season Posey has put together.
Braun’s numbers seem to be the easy winner at first-glance. However, the run-scoring environments between the two players’ home parks are very different, making a straight comparison a bit more complicated. Looking at True Average, which takes these factors into account, the picture changes. Posey’s .348 TAv is a clear leader over the .334 from Braun. Both are excellent, but Posey’s numbers playing for the Giants are the superior set. (Other
whole-value batting metrics you may
see around the web have similar findings.) When you couple this with the fact that Posey plays the large majority of his games as a catcher—a position still starved for offensive talent—while Braun plays the offense-heavy left field, it makes perfect sense that Braun won’t be repeating as the league’s Most Valuable Player.
Well put.
Buster deserves the award, but I agree that if Braun won the MVP it would be a sign that the hypocritical morons that make up the writers association are ready to cave on their McCarthyite stance towards HoF candidates for the past twenty years. If not, it will be time to storm to castle and deprive the scumbags of a vote they refuse to exercise responsibly.
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im rooting for braun only because they wont be able to keep bonds and the rocket out of the hall
would love if mccutchen wins it, cuz that guy carried his team as long as he could
will be happy for buster if he wins it
would be happier for him if he wins his second ring in 3 years
and im gonna make a very firm prediction….whoever comes out of the nl, will win the ws
its all about the pitching