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Archive for July, 2012


…. Pounded

Well, that was some sweet revenge for my friends who are Dodgers fans. What a pounding. I wish I would’ve had the time to write that if Ramirez was available, he would’ve been nothing short of a perfect fit for us.

Yeesh.

I don’t want to mort

gage the future for a rental either, but you never get a second chance to win a title. If this team is mediocre, and there are many reasons to think so; then a trade right now might not make sense. However, career years like Cabrera’s are few and far between, Posey is becoming a legitimate middle of the order force, and everyone but Lincecum is pitching their asses off. One big bat very well could make the difference.

UPDATE: Via Baseball Musings, the Dodgers have gone all in, landing Ryan Dempster on

top of Shane Victorino and Hanley Ramirez. The Giants

got Hunter Pence. *sigh* I feel like Charlie Brown at Halloween.

UPDATE: Whew. The Dodgers didn’t get Dempster. That’s a big relief.



…. Surging


…. What to do…

With Brandon Belt, Buster Posey and Melky Cabrera. After reading El Lefty Malo’s post on the way these three players’ fates are intertw

ined, I started thinking about Cabrera’s upcoming free agency. There’s no doubt that Melky is going to get a very nice payday, and if the Giants seriously want him around, they’d better start talking to his agent soon. The more hits and multi-hit games he keeps piling up, the bigger his deal is going to be.

He’ll be looking for his first big contract, possibly his last, and his agent is going to be arguing that he is an elite hitter; and ask for a contract that is in line with his leading all of baseball in hits over the last two seasons.

His career line of .283/.337/.410 .747 OPS is so out of line with this seasons’ .353/.391/.514 .905 OPS that it’s almost looking at two different players. But after last year’s 201 hits in KC, I think it’ll be easy for his agent to suggest that this is a true indicator of a new level of skill for the 27-year old. That said, my guess is he’ll be looking at a deal in the 5 year, $60 million dollar range. He might take more money for one less year, but that’s probably

not gonna make it any easier for Sabean. At this point, every day that goes by, with him continuing to pile up the hits, after winning the All Star game MVP, it’s becoming obvious that he’s gonna strike it rich.

If the Giants do sign him, that makes it harder for them to deal with the issue of Buster Posey and Brandon Belt. As Malo pointed out, Posey has already played first base in 15% of the Giants games. That means Belt is still being shuffled in and out of the lineup. If he’s ever going to become the player the Giants think he is, that has to end. What to do?

Make Posey a left fielder and move Melky to right.
Make Belt a left fielder and move Melky to right.
Trade Belt and make Posey a first baseman.

None of these is really palatable. If Belt is a real hitter, trading him will be a huge loss. If Melky doesn’t want to move to right, then you are looking at putting an infielder in right, which would be very difficult. It’s a tough spot.



…. All Stars

The SF Giants sent four players to the All Star Game, and all four of them made it count:

…. “Thank you,” Matt Cain said with a c

elebratory chuckle, the winning pitcher in the National League’s 8-0 victory over the American League in Tuesday night’s 83rd All-Star Game. “That couldn’t have been any better. I appreciate that, especially on my end of it, to get that lead early with Panda hitting the triple.

“I can’t thank the fans enough to be able to vote them in. That shows the support we have in the Bay Area.”

Panda, a.k.a. Pablo Sandoval, who had zoomed past Mets third baseman David Wright in the final week of All-Star voting, hit a three-run triple to highlight a five-run first inning.

Melky Cabrera, who surged from fourth to first among outfielders late in the voting process, hit a homer and single and was named the game’s MVP.

And Buster Posey, who received the NL’s most votes (7.6 million), caught Cain’s scoreless two innings and drew a first-inning walk. Cabrera, Posey and Sandoval all scored in the first inning.

UPDATE: Yeah, well, I’ve been wrong before, and I’m sure I will again; in defense of myself, my reasons, which I think I did explain, were that Melky had had a single season of effectiveness, and Sanchez was the rare combination of lefty with legit 95 MPH fastball. And historically, for whatever reason, left-handed pitchers tended towards developing later in their careers.

That said, at this point it’s clear that the Giants are winning the trade by a wide margin. But it’s still only half a season. If Sanchez turns it around, there is no doubt that his upside is higher than Cabrera’s, regardless of his 200 hits a season profile. If Sanchez can harness his talents, he could still be a viable front of the rotation pitcher.

Nevertheless, that’s all

speculation. Cabrera has made great strides, and is proving himself everyday. Congratulations to him and Sabean. Obviously, this trade has been a terrific one for the Giants in 2012.



…. Can it get any worse?

As we head into the All Star break, could it be any clearer that something is seriously wrong with Tim Lincecum? It’s not bad enough we’re

getting smoked by one of the worst offenses in all of baseball, but Lincecum is the difference,

literally, between second place and basically running away with the division:

…. Tim Lincecum is the worst starting pitcher in the majors this year.

That stark, surreal sentence is not opinion but a statistical fact. When Lincecum’s first half mercifully ended in the fourth inning of Sunday’s 13-2 loss to the Pirates, his ERA stood at 6.42, the highest of the 101 starters with enough innings to qualify for the league leaderboards.

…. Lincecum’s road ERA stands at 9.00 – 47 earned runs in 47 innings. No wonder Bochy plans to start him at home after the break.

Not to mention, a pretty mediocre 6-7 record against the division leaders we just ran through. That includes the sweep against the Dodgers, so really, it was a 3-7 run against the rest of the best.



…. Fourth of July

The Giants are in the process of getting their asses handed to them by the Nationals, allowing 9 runs in each of the first two games here in Washington. So much for the great pitching that got them into first

place. They better get their act togeth

er soon, or they’re gonna be looking up at the Dodgers again.

UPDATE: Well, that was brutal. Finally a lead, and the bullpen blows it. Second place.



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All commentary is the opinion of John J Perricone unless otherwise noted.
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