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	<title>Comments on: &#8230;. Compounded and confounded</title>
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		<title>By: Jay T.</title>
		<link>http://www.onlybaseballmatters.com/archives/2008/04/03/compounded-and-confounded/comment-page-1/#comment-29718</link>
		<dc:creator>Jay T.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Apr 2008 16:46:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.onlybaseballmatters.com/archives/2008/04/03/compounded-and-confounded/#comment-29718</guid>
		<description>My response would be that they don&#039;t look like a 100-loss team, they look like a 110 loss team.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>My response would be that they don&#8217;t look like a 100-loss team, they look like a 110 loss team.</p>
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		<title>By: Jay T.</title>
		<link>http://www.onlybaseballmatters.com/archives/2008/04/03/compounded-and-confounded/comment-page-1/#comment-29717</link>
		<dc:creator>Jay T.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Apr 2008 16:44:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.onlybaseballmatters.com/archives/2008/04/03/compounded-and-confounded/#comment-29717</guid>
		<description>Well, it&#039;s a Giants site and it&#039;s a lot easier to write &quot;we&quot; than &quot;that pathetic excuse for a team that we watch because we&#039;re masochists&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Well, it&#8217;s a Giants site and it&#8217;s a lot easier to write &#8220;we&#8221; than &#8220;that pathetic excuse for a team that we watch because we&#8217;re masochists&#8221;</p>
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		<title>By: +mia</title>
		<link>http://www.onlybaseballmatters.com/archives/2008/04/03/compounded-and-confounded/comment-page-1/#comment-29620</link>
		<dc:creator>+mia</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Apr 2008 07:23:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.onlybaseballmatters.com/archives/2008/04/03/compounded-and-confounded/#comment-29620</guid>
		<description>What&#039;s with the &quot;we&#039;re&quot; in trouble Kemosabe?  They&#039;re stopped being we a long time ago when Magowan decided he knew more about baseball and baseball players than actual baseball people and baseball players.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What&#8217;s with the &#8220;we&#8217;re&#8221; in trouble Kemosabe?  They&#8217;re stopped being we a long time ago when Magowan decided he knew more about baseball and baseball players than actual baseball people and baseball players.</p>
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		<title>By: Jim</title>
		<link>http://www.onlybaseballmatters.com/archives/2008/04/03/compounded-and-confounded/comment-page-1/#comment-29604</link>
		<dc:creator>Jim</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Apr 2008 01:28:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.onlybaseballmatters.com/archives/2008/04/03/compounded-and-confounded/#comment-29604</guid>
		<description>Thanks, Jay T. Good to read that the &quot;consensus&quot; is that the Giants aren&#039;t as bad as they look, although you sure could have fooled me...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks, Jay T. Good to read that the &#8220;consensus&#8221; is that the Giants aren&#8217;t as bad as they look, although you sure could have fooled me&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: Jay T.</title>
		<link>http://www.onlybaseballmatters.com/archives/2008/04/03/compounded-and-confounded/comment-page-1/#comment-29601</link>
		<dc:creator>Jay T.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Apr 2008 00:38:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.onlybaseballmatters.com/archives/2008/04/03/compounded-and-confounded/#comment-29601</guid>
		<description>Also on ESPN:

Giants looking for help at 1B
According to the San Francisco Chronicle, Giants&#039; general manager Brian Sabean is looking for a left-handed hitting first baseman.

The Nationals&#039; Nick Johnson and the Braves&#039; Scott Thorman were mentioned as possible candidates to fill the void.

--------

Okay. WHAT THE FUCK?  What&#039;s the point here?  My God we&#039;re in trouble...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Also on ESPN:</p>
<p>Giants looking for help at 1B<br />
According to the San Francisco Chronicle, Giants&#8217; general manager Brian Sabean is looking for a left-handed hitting first baseman.</p>
<p>The Nationals&#8217; Nick Johnson and the Braves&#8217; Scott Thorman were mentioned as possible candidates to fill the void.</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;</p>
<p>Okay. WHAT THE FUCK?  What&#8217;s the point here?  My God we&#8217;re in trouble&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: Jay T.</title>
		<link>http://www.onlybaseballmatters.com/archives/2008/04/03/compounded-and-confounded/comment-page-1/#comment-29600</link>
		<dc:creator>Jay T.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Apr 2008 00:37:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.onlybaseballmatters.com/archives/2008/04/03/compounded-and-confounded/#comment-29600</guid>
		<description>Here&#039;s a bit of what he wrote, after commenting on some other columnist&#039;s stuff...

But what has changed since Opening Day, exactly? Sure, a few nicks and scrapes here and there, same as most teams are going to suffer over the course of a typical week. Nothing that&#039;s going to significantly impact the figures. And just one week ago, the figures didn&#039;t suggest the Giants were anywhere near lousy enough to lose 107 games. 

I sort of collect preseason projections, and this season I collected six of them: five &quot;computer&quot; projections and one betting line. The Giants&#039; record this season, as predicted by those six: 73-89, 74-88, 79-83, 74-88, 69-93, 71-91. If you average all those records, you wind up with 74-88. 

But I didn&#039;t believe the Giants would be that good. So I went way, way, way farther than usual and knocked four wins off their consensus projection. Let me be clear about this: While I often adjust the figures up or down for various reasons, four games is a real stretch. So I took this drastic (for me) measure … and I still have the Giants winning 70 games. 

Why? How? I don&#039;t know. Even if I checked projections for each Giant, I probably still wouldn&#039;t know. What I do know is that a great way to go broke quickly is betting against the consensus projections. Last year the Nationals were supposed to lose 100 games; they went 73-89. The year before that the Marlins were supposed to lose 100 games; they went 78-84. In both cases (as I recall) the consensus projections suggested that neither team would lose anything like 100 games. 

So yes, the Giants look bad right now. Also: abominable, atrocious, awful, crappy, crummy, deficient, dreadful, god-awful, gross, inferior, lousy, stinking, substandard and the pits. 

But they don&#039;t look to me like a 100-loss team. Not yet.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here&#8217;s a bit of what he wrote, after commenting on some other columnist&#8217;s stuff&#8230;</p>
<p>But what has changed since Opening Day, exactly? Sure, a few nicks and scrapes here and there, same as most teams are going to suffer over the course of a typical week. Nothing that&#8217;s going to significantly impact the figures. And just one week ago, the figures didn&#8217;t suggest the Giants were anywhere near lousy enough to lose 107 games. </p>
<p>I sort of collect preseason projections, and this season I collected six of them: five &#8220;computer&#8221; projections and one betting line. The Giants&#8217; record this season, as predicted by those six: 73-89, 74-88, 79-83, 74-88, 69-93, 71-91. If you average all those records, you wind up with 74-88. </p>
<p>But I didn&#8217;t believe the Giants would be that good. So I went way, way, way farther than usual and knocked four wins off their consensus projection. Let me be clear about this: While I often adjust the figures up or down for various reasons, four games is a real stretch. So I took this drastic (for me) measure … and I still have the Giants winning 70 games. </p>
<p>Why? How? I don&#8217;t know. Even if I checked projections for each Giant, I probably still wouldn&#8217;t know. What I do know is that a great way to go broke quickly is betting against the consensus projections. Last year the Nationals were supposed to lose 100 games; they went 73-89. The year before that the Marlins were supposed to lose 100 games; they went 78-84. In both cases (as I recall) the consensus projections suggested that neither team would lose anything like 100 games. </p>
<p>So yes, the Giants look bad right now. Also: abominable, atrocious, awful, crappy, crummy, deficient, dreadful, god-awful, gross, inferior, lousy, stinking, substandard and the pits. </p>
<p>But they don&#8217;t look to me like a 100-loss team. Not yet.</p>
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		<title>By: Jim</title>
		<link>http://www.onlybaseballmatters.com/archives/2008/04/03/compounded-and-confounded/comment-page-1/#comment-29589</link>
		<dc:creator>Jim</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Apr 2008 20:37:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.onlybaseballmatters.com/archives/2008/04/03/compounded-and-confounded/#comment-29589</guid>
		<description>Has anyone read Rob Neyer&#039;s column on the ESPN web site today, titled &quot;How awful are the Giants?&quot; You have to be a premium subscriber to read this article which I am not, so I&#039;m interested in knowing how awful Neyer thinks we are. Little help?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Has anyone read Rob Neyer&#8217;s column on the ESPN web site today, titled &#8220;How awful are the Giants?&#8221; You have to be a premium subscriber to read this article which I am not, so I&#8217;m interested in knowing how awful Neyer thinks we are. Little help?</p>
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		<title>By: Hal</title>
		<link>http://www.onlybaseballmatters.com/archives/2008/04/03/compounded-and-confounded/comment-page-1/#comment-29587</link>
		<dc:creator>Hal</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Apr 2008 20:06:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.onlybaseballmatters.com/archives/2008/04/03/compounded-and-confounded/#comment-29587</guid>
		<description>Miller did announce it was the biggest paid crowd in stadium history. MLB decided several years ago to announce paid attendance rather than butts in seats, so whatever &quot;attendance&quot; is announced has nothing to do with who&#039;s at the ballpark. It should more properly be announced as &quot;receipts&quot; than &quot;attendance.&quot; That&#039;s not new, but the disparity was less apparent in SF when people actually showed up - mostly to watch Mr. Bonds, I dare say.

As Toni pointed out, in Oakland it doesn&#039;t make much difference - in fact, there may be more people in the park than bought tickets.

Anyway, it&#039;s good to keep this in mind when listening to Bug Selig or any MLB front office when they talk about &quot;attendance&quot; - its about bucks, not butts.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Miller did announce it was the biggest paid crowd in stadium history. MLB decided several years ago to announce paid attendance rather than butts in seats, so whatever &#8220;attendance&#8221; is announced has nothing to do with who&#8217;s at the ballpark. It should more properly be announced as &#8220;receipts&#8221; than &#8220;attendance.&#8221; That&#8217;s not new, but the disparity was less apparent in SF when people actually showed up &#8211; mostly to watch Mr. Bonds, I dare say.</p>
<p>As Toni pointed out, in Oakland it doesn&#8217;t make much difference &#8211; in fact, there may be more people in the park than bought tickets.</p>
<p>Anyway, it&#8217;s good to keep this in mind when listening to Bug Selig or any MLB front office when they talk about &#8220;attendance&#8221; &#8211; its about bucks, not butts.</p>
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		<title>By: Jay T.</title>
		<link>http://www.onlybaseballmatters.com/archives/2008/04/03/compounded-and-confounded/comment-page-1/#comment-29582</link>
		<dc:creator>Jay T.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Apr 2008 17:59:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.onlybaseballmatters.com/archives/2008/04/03/compounded-and-confounded/#comment-29582</guid>
		<description>Man, if the booing has already started on the home opener, this is going to get really ugly.  Let&#039;s hope attendance drops enough that they can&#039;t just fake it because the empty seats will speak for themselves.  It&#039;s not like I want the franchise to do poorly, but they need to be punished for their stupidity.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Man, if the booing has already started on the home opener, this is going to get really ugly.  Let&#8217;s hope attendance drops enough that they can&#8217;t just fake it because the empty seats will speak for themselves.  It&#8217;s not like I want the franchise to do poorly, but they need to be punished for their stupidity.</p>
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		<title>By: Toni</title>
		<link>http://www.onlybaseballmatters.com/archives/2008/04/03/compounded-and-confounded/comment-page-1/#comment-29575</link>
		<dc:creator>Toni</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Apr 2008 16:39:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.onlybaseballmatters.com/archives/2008/04/03/compounded-and-confounded/#comment-29575</guid>
		<description>...I hope you don’t believe the Foreclosure Prevention Act of 2008 is meant to prevent foreclosures.

hahaha!

um no.

It&#039;s quite possible that I didn&#039;t hear Miller correctly... but it really surprised me with what I &lt;i&gt;thought&lt;/i&gt; I heard.

Was anybody listening to the game and can perahps confirm or deny what I heard?  It was near the end of the game when Miller said it, maybe around the 7th or 8th inning.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8230;I hope you don’t believe the Foreclosure Prevention Act of 2008 is meant to prevent foreclosures.</p>
<p>hahaha!</p>
<p>um no.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s quite possible that I didn&#8217;t hear Miller correctly&#8230; but it really surprised me with what I <i>thought</i> I heard.</p>
<p>Was anybody listening to the game and can perahps confirm or deny what I heard?  It was near the end of the game when Miller said it, maybe around the 7th or 8th inning.</p>
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